Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Arbroath vs Dunfermline preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Arbroath take on Dunfermline on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gayfield Park. Arbroath are 8th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Dunfermline sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Arbroath's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Livingston 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dunfermline's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Raith Rovers 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline. Across their last 4 meetings Arbroath have won 1, Dunfermline 1, with 2 draws and 1.8 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.7 for Arbroath and 0.6 for Dunfermline. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 84% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arbroath40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Dunfermline34%fair 2.93 · @2.70
1.38Expected goals
0.74Arbroath xG
0.64Dunfermline xG
45%Both score
16%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–025%
1–019%
0–116%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Arbroath 0.7 – 0.6 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dunfermline 34%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Arbroath vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
