Championship · Scotland · The City StadiumQueen's Park vs Morton prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Value bet: Morton to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Queen's Park 0.9 – 1.0 Morton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Queen's Park and Morton on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Queen's Park have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Morton have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.9 for Queen's Park, 1.0 for Morton). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (15%), 0–1 (15%), 1–0 (14%).
In their last 1 meeting, Queen's Park have won 1, Morton have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.84. For a bigger price, Morton to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Morton to win ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 23% | 4.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.85 | – |
Form
Queen's Park – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Partick | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Raith Rovers | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Livingston | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Queen of the South | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Aberdeen | 1–2 | L |
Morton – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Ayr Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Arbroath | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Partick | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Inverness CT | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ ST Johnstone | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Feb 2026 | Queen's Park v Morton | 3–2 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Queen's Park vs Morton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Queen's Park vs Morton?
On our numbers Queen's Park have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Morton 38%.
How many goals will there be in Queen's Park vs Morton?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Queen's Park vs Morton?
Queen's Park vs Morton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.