Championship · Scotland · Firhill StadiumPartick vs Ayr Utd prediction & analysis
Partick to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Partick 1.3 – 0.4 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Partick are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Ayr Utd.
Partick have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Ayr Utd have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 1.6 goals (1.3 for Partick, 0.4 for Ayr Utd). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (25%), 0–0 (20%), 2–0 (16%).
Our pick is Partick to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Not both teams to score at 1.85 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Partick to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Partick or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Partick / FT Partick ✓ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 25% | 4.03 | – |
Form
Partick – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Queen's Park | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Inverness CT | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Hibernian | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Livingston | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Morton | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Clydebank | 2–2 | D |
Ayr Utd – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Morton | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Raith Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Kilmarnock | 2–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Dunfermline | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Arbroath | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Alloa Athletic | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Partick and Ayr Utd.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Partick vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Partick to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Partick vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Partick have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ayr Utd 15%.
How many goals will there be in Partick vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Partick vs Ayr Utd?
Partick vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.