Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Ayr Utd to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDunfermline to win ✗39% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd preview and prediction
The match
Dunfermline host Ayr Utd in the Championship on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at East End Park. Dunfermline are 3rd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Ayr Utd sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Dunfermline's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Inverness CT 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ayr Utd's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Arbroath 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ayr Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Ayr Utd 0–3 Dunfermline.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Dunfermline and 0.9 for Ayr Utd. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Ayr Utd to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dunfermline 0–0 Ayr Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dunfermline39%fair 2.59 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
Ayr Utd37%fair 2.67 · @3.30
1.73Expected goals
0.88Dunfermline xG
0.86Ayr Utd xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 0.9 – 0.9 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ayr Utd 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 0–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
