Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Arbroath to win @ 2.98 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArbroath to win ✗41% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Arbroath vs Inverness CT preview and prediction
The match
Inverness CT travel to Gayfield Park in the Championship on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT) to face Arbroath. Arbroath are 8th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Inverness CT sit 6th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arbroath's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Ayr Utd 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Inverness CT's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Dunfermline 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Inverness CT arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Arbroath and 0.8 for Inverness CT. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Arbroath to win at 2.98 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arbroath 0–0 Inverness CT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arbroath41%fair 2.43 · @2.98
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Inverness CT35%fair 2.86 · @2.25
1.73Expected goals
0.92Arbroath xG
0.81Inverness CT xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Arbroath 0.9 – 0.8 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arbroath to win✗
41%
2.43
2.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.14
–
Form
Arbroath – last 6
LWLLWW
1 Aug
@ Ayr Utd
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Stirling Albion
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Montrose
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Dundee Utd
0–3
L
11 Jul
@ Spartans
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Brechin
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Inverness CT – last 6
DWWWDW
1 Aug
vs Dunfermline
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Morton
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arbroath and Inverness CT.
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Inverness CT?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arbroath vs Inverness CT?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Inverness CT 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Inverness CT?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Inverness CT?
Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–0 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Arbroath vs Inverness CT?
Arbroath vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
