Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir preview and prediction
The match
Stenhousemuir travel to face Raith Rovers in the Championship on Saturday 1 August (15:00 WAT). Raith Rovers are 2nd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Stenhousemuir sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Raith Rovers's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stenhousemuir's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Livingston 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Raith Rovers and 0.7 for Stenhousemuir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Raith Rovers 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raith Rovers65%fair 1.54 · @1.52
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.65
Stenhousemuir11%fair 8.97 · @6.25
2.59Expected goals
1.91Raith Rovers xG
0.68Stenhousemuir xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.9 – 0.7 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✗
65%
1.54
1.52
Double chance
Raith Rovers or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Raith Rovers ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Raith Rovers – last 6
LWDDWW
24 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Hamilton Academical
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Kilmarnock
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Elgin City
3–1
W
30 Jun
vs Edinburgh City
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stenhousemuir – last 6
DDWWWD
25 Jul
vs Livingston
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Partick
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Brechin
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
2–0
W
13 May
@ Alloa Athletic
3–1
W
5 May
@ Queen of the South
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stenhousemuir 11%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
