Value bet: Inverness CT to win @ 2.42 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInverness CT to win ✗45% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Inverness CT vs Dunfermline preview and prediction
The match
Inverness CT host Dunfermline in the Championship on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. Inverness CT are 6th with 20 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dunfermline sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Inverness CT's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Morton 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dunfermline's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat ST Mirren 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Inverness CT and 1.1 for Dunfermline. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Inverness CT to win at 2.42 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Inverness CT 1–1 Dunfermline. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inverness CT45%fair 2.24 · @2.42
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Dunfermline33%fair 3.01 · @2.72
2.47Expected goals
1.35Inverness CT xG
1.11Dunfermline xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Inverness CT 1.4 – 1.1 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inverness CT to win✗
45%
2.24
2.42 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inverness CT / FT Inverness CT✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Inverness CT – last 6
WWWDWL
25 Jul
@ Morton
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–1
W
4 Jul
vs Ross County
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dunfermline – last 6
WWWLWW
26 Jul
@ ST Mirren
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
5–0
W
14 Jul
vs Dumbarton
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ East Kilbride
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Kelty Hearts
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Clyde
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inverness CT and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Inverness CT have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dunfermline 33%.
How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Inverness CT 1–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
Inverness CT vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
