Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Kilmarnock to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAberdeen to win41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.84
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen preview and prediction
The match
Kilmarnock host Aberdeen in the Premiership on Saturday 21 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Aberdeen sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kilmarnock's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Celtic 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Aberdeen's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Hibernian 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen. Across their last 2 meetings Kilmarnock have won 0, Aberdeen 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Kilmarnock and 1.5 for Aberdeen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kilmarnock to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kilmarnock34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
Aberdeen41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
2.95Expected goals
1.47Kilmarnock xG
1.48Aberdeen xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.5 – 1.5 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Attack vs Premiership average
-11%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+29%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.41
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aberdeen 41%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
