Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFalkirk to win57% · @1.85
Double chanceFalkirk or draw79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.18
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone preview and prediction
The match
ST Johnstone travel to Falkirk Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 21 November (16:00 WAT) to face Falkirk. Falkirk are 3rd with 21 points from 13 games (in the top four), while ST Johnstone sit 7th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Falkirk's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Heart Of Midlothian 5–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ST Johnstone's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Dundee 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Falkirk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Falkirk and 1.0 for ST Johnstone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Falkirk 57%, draw 22%, ST Johnstone 21%.
Safer route: Falkirk or draw (79%) at 1.33.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Prediction
Our prediction: Falkirk or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Falkirk 1–1 ST Johnstone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Falkirk57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.70
ST Johnstone21%fair 4.73 · @3.60
2.79Expected goals
1.77Falkirk xG
1.01ST Johnstone xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Falkirk 1.8 – 1.0 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Falkirk
ST Johnstone
Attack vs Premiership average
+11%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.79
1.05
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Falkirk or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers Falkirk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ST Johnstone 21%.
How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is Falkirk 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
