Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeltic to win72% · @1.14
Double chanceCeltic or draw90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals68% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.67
Celtic vs ST Mirren preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Celtic take on ST Mirren on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Celtic Park. Celtic are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while ST Mirren sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Celtic's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Kilmarnock 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
ST Mirren's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Rangers 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Celtic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished ST Mirren 1–2 Celtic. Across their last 2 meetings Celtic have won 1, ST Mirren 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Celtic and 0.8 for ST Mirren. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celtic 72%, draw 17%, ST Mirren 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Celtic 3–0 ST Mirren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celtic72%fair 1.38 · @1.14
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @7.50
ST Mirren10%fair 9.71 · @13.00
3.19Expected goals
2.40Celtic xG
0.79ST Mirren xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–09%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celtic 2.4 – 0.8 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Celtic
ST Mirren
Attack vs Premiership average
+37%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.24
0.73
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Celtic have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and ST Mirren 10%.
How many goals will there be in Celtic vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Celtic 3–0 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Celtic vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
