Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultST Johnstone to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.02
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees ST Johnstone take on Motherwell on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at McDiarmid Park. ST Johnstone are 7th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Motherwell sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ST Johnstone's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Rangers 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Motherwell's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Heart Of Midlothian 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
ST Johnstone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for ST Johnstone and 1.3 for Motherwell. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Johnstone 40%, draw 24%, Motherwell 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Johnstone40%fair 2.49 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Motherwell36%fair 2.77 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.42ST Johnstone xG
1.33Motherwell xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.3 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Johnstone to win✗
40%
2.49
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.02
–
Form
ST Johnstone – last 6
LDWDLW
24 Oct
@ Rangers
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Dundee Utd
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Aberdeen
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Celtic
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Hibernian
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
LLLLLL
25 Oct
vs Heart Of Midlothian
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Kilmarnock
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Celtic
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dundee
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Aberdeen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motherwell 36%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.