Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAberdeen to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Aberdeen vs Falkirk preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Aberdeen take on Falkirk on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Pittodrie Stadium. Aberdeen are 11th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Falkirk sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Aberdeen's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Dundee Utd 2–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Falkirk's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Kilmarnock 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Aberdeen and 1.2 for Falkirk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aberdeen 40%, draw 23%, Falkirk 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Falkirk to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aberdeen40%fair 2.53 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Falkirk37%fair 2.67 · @3.30
2.45Expected goals
1.25Aberdeen xG
1.20Falkirk xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.2 – 1.2 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
40%
2.53
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Aberdeen – last 6
LWLWDW
24 Oct
@ Dundee Utd
2–3
L
17 Oct
vs ST Mirren
3–1
W
11 Oct
vs ST Johnstone
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Dunfermline
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Motherwell
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
WWLDWD
24 Oct
vs Kilmarnock
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Dundee
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and Falkirk.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Falkirk 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Aberdeen vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
