Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundee to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Dundee vs Kilmarnock preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Dundee take on Kilmarnock on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Dens Park. Dundee are 5th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Kilmarnock sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dundee's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to ST Mirren 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kilmarnock's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Falkirk 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Dundee and 1.0 for Kilmarnock. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Dundee to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dundee 1–0 Kilmarnock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundee64%fair 1.55 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.81 · @3.60
Kilmarnock21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
2.95Expected goals
1.99Dundee xG
0.96Kilmarnock xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dundee 2.0 – 1.0 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Dundee to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Dundee have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kilmarnock 21%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Dundee 1–0 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
