Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell preview and prediction
The match
Motherwell travel to Rugby Park in the Premiership on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT) to face Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Motherwell sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kilmarnock's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Rangers 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Motherwell's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Celtic 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Kilmarnock and 1.6 for Motherwell. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kilmarnock32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Motherwell47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
2.94Expected goals
1.30Kilmarnock xG
1.64Motherwell xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.3 – 1.6 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✗
47%
2.13
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Kilmarnock – last 6
LDWDDL
10 Oct
@ Rangers
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Aberdeen
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aberdeen
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
LLLLWD
11 Oct
vs Celtic
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dundee
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Aberdeen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dundee Utd
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ ST Mirren
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Motherwell 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
