Premiership · Scotland · McDiarmid ParkST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.2 – 1.3 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
ST Johnstone have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Dundee Utd have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for ST Johnstone, 1.3 for Dundee Utd). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.69.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dundee Utd to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd ✗ | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.76 | – |
Form
ST Johnstone – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Aberdeen | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Falkirk | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Celtic | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Hibernian | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Dundee | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Heart Of Midlothian | 1–2 | L |
Dundee Utd – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Hibernian | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ ST Mirren | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Falkirk | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ Motherwell | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Kilmarnock | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Dundee | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 13 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Falkirk | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Aberdeen | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 13 | -16 | 9 |
More Premiership predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundee Utd 41%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.