Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultST Johnstone to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.89
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk preview and prediction
The match
Falkirk travel to McDiarmid Park in the Premiership on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT) to face ST Johnstone. ST Johnstone are 7th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Falkirk sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
ST Johnstone's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Celtic 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Falkirk's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for ST Johnstone and 1.1 for Falkirk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Johnstone 45%, draw 21%, Falkirk 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Falkirk to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Johnstone45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Falkirk34%fair 2.96 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.37ST Johnstone xG
1.13Falkirk xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.1 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Johnstone to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.89
–
Form
ST Johnstone – last 6
LWDLLW
9 Sep
vs Celtic
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Hibernian
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Dundee
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ ST Mirren
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
WDLLDL
15 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Rangers
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Celtic
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs ST Mirren
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Falkirk.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Falkirk 34%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
