Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hibernian to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHibernian to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceHibernian or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Hibernian vs Aberdeen preview and prediction
The match
Hibernian host Aberdeen in the Premiership on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Easter Road. Hibernian are 10th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Aberdeen sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hibernian's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kilmarnock 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aberdeen's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Motherwell 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Hibernian and 0.7 for Aberdeen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hibernian to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hibernian or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hibernian 1–0 Aberdeen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hibernian63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.70
Aberdeen17%fair 5.86 · @4.20
2.50Expected goals
1.75Hibernian xG
0.75Aberdeen xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hibernian 1.8 – 0.7 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Hibernian or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Hibernian ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
Hibernian – last 6
LWLLWL
15 Sep
vs Kilmarnock
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Ross County
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Dundee
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Gent
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aberdeen – last 6
WDDLLW
15 Sep
@ Motherwell
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Kilmarnock
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Celtic
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Rangers
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dundee
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Aberdeen.
Our pick is Hibernian or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Hibernian have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aberdeen 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Hibernian 1–0 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Hibernian vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
