Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Heart Of Midlothian to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian travel to The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park in the Premiership on Saturday 19 September (17:45 WAT) to face Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Heart Of Midlothian sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kilmarnock's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Hibernian 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Falkirk 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Heart Of Midlothian arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Kilmarnock and 2.3 for Heart Of Midlothian. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kilmarnock 13%, draw 21%, Heart Of Midlothian 66%.
Safer route: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heart Of Midlothian to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kilmarnock 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kilmarnock13%fair 7.45 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
Heart Of Midlothian66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
3.25Expected goals
0.97Kilmarnock xG
2.28Heart Of Midlothian xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.0 – 2.3 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✗
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Kilmarnock – last 6
WDDLLW
15 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Aberdeen
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aberdeen
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Sep
@ Falkirk
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Rapid Vienna
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heart Of Midlothian 66%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
