Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✓50% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd preview and prediction
The match
Dundee Utd travel to Fir Park in the Premiership on Wednesday 2 September (19:45 WAT) to face Motherwell. Motherwell are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dundee Utd sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Motherwell's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with ST Mirren 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundee Utd's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Kilmarnock 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Motherwell and 1.3 for Dundee Utd. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Motherwell 1–1 Dundee Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell50%fair 1.99 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Dundee Utd30%fair 3.39 · @3.45
2.99Expected goals
1.73Motherwell xG
1.26Dundee Utd xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.7 – 1.3 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✓
50%
1.99
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✓
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Form
Motherwell – last 6
DLLDWD
30 Aug
@ ST Mirren
3–3
D
27 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dundee Utd – last 6
WLLLDL
29 Aug
@ Kilmarnock
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Dundee
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Celtic
0–4
L
9 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
0–4
L
31 Jul
vs Rangers
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Salford City
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and Dundee Utd.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dundee Utd 30%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.