Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultST Mirren to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren preview and prediction
The match
ST Mirren travel to Rugby Park in the Premiership on Wednesday 2 September (19:45 WAT) to face Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while ST Mirren sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kilmarnock's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Dundee Utd 0–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
ST Mirren's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Motherwell 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
ST Mirren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Kilmarnock and 1.8 for ST Mirren. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kilmarnock 37%, draw 23%, ST Mirren 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Mirren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kilmarnock37%fair 2.71 · @2.72
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
ST Mirren40%fair 2.47 · @2.40
3.56Expected goals
1.73Kilmarnock xG
1.82ST Mirren xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.7 – 1.8 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Mirren to win✓
40%
2.47
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Mirren / FT ST Mirren✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.17
–
Form
Kilmarnock – last 6
LWLLDW
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Celtic
1–5
L
2 Aug
@ ST Johnstone
3–4
L
25 Jul
@ Peterhead
0–0
D
21 Jul
vs Hamilton Academical
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ST Mirren – last 6
DLWWLW
30 Aug
vs Motherwell
3–3
D
16 Aug
@ Rangers
1–5
L
8 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Falkirk
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs East Kilbride
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and ST Mirren.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ST Mirren 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
