Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.56 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundee to win ✗45% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Dundee vs ST Johnstone preview and prediction
The match
Dundee host ST Johnstone in the Premiership on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Dens Park. Dundee are 5th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while ST Johnstone sit 7th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dundee's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Hibernian 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ST Johnstone's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Dundee and 1.2 for ST Johnstone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundee 45%, draw 21%, ST Johnstone 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Dundee to win at 2.56 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundee45%fair 2.20 · @2.56
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
ST Johnstone34%fair 2.98 · @2.58
2.71Expected goals
1.48Dundee xG
1.22ST Johnstone xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dundee 1.5 – 1.2 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee to win✗
45%
2.20
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee / FT Dundee✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Dundee – last 6
LWLWLW
30 Aug
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Dundee Utd
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Aberdeen
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Celtic
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Clyde
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ST Johnstone – last 6
LLWDLW
29 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ ST Mirren
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
25 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Inverness CT
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Morton
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundee and ST Johnstone.
What is the prediction for Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers Dundee have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ST Johnstone 34%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
Dundee vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
