Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Motherwell vs Aberdeen preview and prediction
The match
Motherwell host Aberdeen in the Premiership on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Fir Park. Motherwell are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Aberdeen sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Motherwell's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Rangers 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Aberdeen's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Kilmarnock 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Aberdeen 2–0 Motherwell. Across their last 2 meetings Motherwell have won 1, Aberdeen 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Motherwell and 0.7 for Aberdeen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Motherwell or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Motherwell 1–0 Aberdeen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Aberdeen18%fair 5.48 · @3.90
2.20Expected goals
1.50Motherwell xG
0.70Aberdeen xG
56%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.5 – 0.7 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our pick is Motherwell or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 18%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–0 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Motherwell vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
