Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Heart Of Midlothian to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✗81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Falkirk take on Heart Of Midlothian on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Falkirk Stadium. Falkirk are 3rd with 21 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Heart Of Midlothian sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Falkirk's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Dundee Utd 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Stenhousemuir 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Heart Of Midlothian arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk. Across their last 2 meetings Falkirk have won 0, Heart Of Midlothian 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Falkirk and 1.8 for Heart Of Midlothian. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Falkirk 19%, draw 23%, Heart Of Midlothian 58%.
Safer route: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (81%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Heart Of Midlothian to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heart Of Midlothian or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Falkirk 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Falkirk19%fair 5.30 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Heart Of Midlothian58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
2.70Expected goals
0.91Falkirk xG
1.79Heart Of Midlothian xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Falkirk 0.9 – 1.8 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers Falkirk have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heart Of Midlothian 58%.
How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is Falkirk 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
