Kilmarnock travel to Easter Road in the Premiership on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT) to face Hibernian. Hibernian are 10th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Kilmarnock sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hibernian's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Ross County 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kilmarnock's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Aberdeen 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Hibernian and 0.9 for Kilmarnock. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Hibernian to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hibernian 2–0 Kilmarnock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hibernian69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.20
Kilmarnock9%fair 10.57 · @5.50
3.40Expected goals
2.48Hibernian xG
0.92Kilmarnock xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Hibernian 2.5 – 0.9 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Hibernian or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Hibernian ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Hibernian – last 6
WLLWLD
12 Sep
@ Ross County
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Dundee
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Gent
2–3
L
20 Aug
@ Gent
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 6
DDLLWL
12 Sep
vs Aberdeen
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aberdeen
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Celtic
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Hibernian to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Hibernian have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kilmarnock 9%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Hibernian 2–0 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
