Celtic travel to Rugby Park in the Premiership on Sunday 9 August (13:30 WAT) to face Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Celtic sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kilmarnock's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to ST Johnstone 3–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celtic's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Dundee 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.0 for Kilmarnock and 2.7 for Celtic. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kilmarnock10%fair 9.78 · @6.75
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @5.10
Celtic70%fair 1.42 · @1.38
3.71Expected goals
1.03Kilmarnock xG
2.68Celtic xG
60%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.0 – 2.7 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celtic 70%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Kilmarnock vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
