Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Heart Of Midlothian to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.63 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.63Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓68% · @1.63
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Heart Of Midlothian take on Dundee Utd on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Tynecastle Park. Heart Of Midlothian are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Dundee Utd sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Benfica 1–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dundee Utd's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Rangers 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundee Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.7 for Dundee Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heart Of Midlothian to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.63, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heart Of Midlothian68%fair 1.48 · @1.63
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.90
Dundee Utd14%fair 7.18 · @5.00
2.70Expected goals
1.97Heart Of Midlothian xG
0.73Dundee Utd xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 2.0 – 0.7 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
68%
1.48
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Form
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
LLLWLW
6 Aug
@ Benfica
1–6
L
1 Aug
@ Aberdeen
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs Sturm Graz
0–2
L
24 Jul
@ Raith Rovers
1–0
W
21 Jul
@ Sturm Graz
0–4
L
17 Jul
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundee Utd – last 6
DLWWLW
31 Jul
vs Rangers
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Salford City
2–3
L
21 Jul
vs Spartans
4–0
W
18 Jul
vs Arbroath
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Montrose
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Stirling Albion
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dundee Utd 14%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
