V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees V-varen Nagasaki take on Tokyo Verdy on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Peace Stadium. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Urawa 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Avispa Fukuoka 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.2 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: V-varen Nagasaki 44%, draw 22%, Tokyo Verdy 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
V-varen Nagasaki44%fair 2.28 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.96 · @2.90
2.67Expected goals
1.44V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.23Tokyo Verdy xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.4 – 1.2 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
V-varen Nagasaki to win✗
44%
2.28
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT V-varen Nagasaki / FT V-varen Nagasaki✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LWLDDL
25 Oct
@ Urawa
0–1
L
21 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ JEF United Chiba
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
WDLLDD
24 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–1
W
21 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
7 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
0–0
D
29 Sep
@ Sagan Tosu
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between V-varen Nagasaki and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tokyo Verdy 34%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.