Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Machida Zelvia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Machida Zelvia take on Gamba Osaka on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Machida GION Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Buriram United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Machida Zelvia and 1.1 for Gamba Osaka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Safer route: Machida Zelvia or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Machida Zelvia or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 2–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
Gamba Osaka20%fair 5.04 · @4.33
3.13Expected goals
2.05Machida Zelvia xG
1.08Gamba Osaka xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 2.1 – 1.1 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Machida Zelvia ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WDWWWW
29 Oct
@ Shanghai Shenhua
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Vissel Kobe
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
DDWDWL
28 Oct
vs Buriram United
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
21 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Newcastle Jets
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gamba Osaka 20%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 2–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka0
V-varen Nagasaki1