Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo preview and prediction
The match
FC Tokyo travel to JFE Harenokuni Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 31 October (06:00 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Tokyo's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Mito Hollyhock 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Fagiano Okayama and 2.0 for FC Tokyo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fagiano Okayama 14%, draw 25%, FC Tokyo 62%.
Safer route: FC Tokyo or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: FC Tokyo to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tokyo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 0–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama14%fair 7.31 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
FC Tokyo62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
0.84Fagiano Okayama xG
1.95FC Tokyo xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 0.8 – 2.0 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.34
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LWLDLW
25 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
14 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
L
7 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 6
WDWLWW
25 Oct
vs Mito Hollyhock
6–0
W
21 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Tokyo Verdy
4–0
W
14 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Urawa
3–0
W
7 Oct
vs Shonan Bellmare
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Tokyo 62%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 0–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kyoto Sanga2
Shimizu S-pulse0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Cerezo Osaka1
Vissel Kobe3
Nagoya Grampus1