Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUrawa to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceUrawa or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
V-varen Nagasaki travel to Saitama Stadium 2002 in the J1 League on Sunday 25 October (07:00 WAT) to face Urawa. Urawa are 6th with 25 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Urawa's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Urawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Urawa and 1.0 for V-varen Nagasaki. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Urawa to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Urawa 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Urawa65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
V-varen Nagasaki12%fair 8.61 · @4.80
3.45Expected goals
2.42Urawa xG
1.03V-varen Nagasaki xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Urawa 2.4 – 1.0 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Urawa to win✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Urawa or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Urawa ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Urawa / FT Urawa✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Urawa – last 6
WWWLWW
21 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
3–2
W
17 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
14 Oct
@ Yokohama FC
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ FC Tokyo
0–3
L
7 Oct
vs Omiya Ardija
3–2
W
29 Sep
@ Kataller Toyama
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
WLDDLD
21 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ JEF United Chiba
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Urawa and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Urawa to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Urawa have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and V-varen Nagasaki 12%.
How many goals will there be in Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Urawa 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Saitama Stadium 2002.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka2
Fagiano Okayama1