Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Cerezo Osaka to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Cerezo Osaka take on JEF United Chiba on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while JEF United Chiba sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Nagoya Grampus 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
JEF United Chiba's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Urawa 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Cerezo Osaka and 0.9 for JEF United Chiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Cerezo Osaka to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 JEF United Chiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
JEF United Chiba20%fair 5.04 · @4.33
2.68Expected goals
1.80Cerezo Osaka xG
0.88JEF United Chiba xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.8 – 0.9 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Cerezo Osaka ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
DLWDWW
21 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
14 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
2–0
W
29 Sep
@ Fujieda MYFC
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
JEF United Chiba – last 6
LDDLLL
21 Oct
@ Urawa
2–3
L
17 Oct
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Jubilo Iwata
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and JEF United Chiba.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JEF United Chiba 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?
Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nagoya Grampus1
V-varen Nagasaki0
Fagiano Okayama1