Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Kashima host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Mercari Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Ventforet Kofu 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Kashiwa Reysol 3–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Kashima and 1.2 for Gamba Osaka. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kashima 2–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.60
Gamba Osaka18%fair 5.57 · @4.00
3.44Expected goals
2.25Kashima xG
1.19Gamba Osaka xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.2 – 1.2 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
60%
1.67
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Kashima – last 6
WDWLLL
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Newcastle Jets
7–1
W
11 Sep
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Urawa
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Mito Hollyhock
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
DWLWLL
3 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–3
D
23 Sep
vs Tokushima Vortis
5–0
W
20 Sep
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Công An Nhân Dân
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ JEF United Chiba
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Kashima have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gamba Osaka 18%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vissel Kobe2