J1 League · Japan · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.4 – 1.5 Vissel Kobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Kashiwa Reysol have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Vissel Kobe have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Vissel Kobe come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Kashiwa Reysol, 1.5 for Vissel Kobe). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Vissel Kobe to win at 3.10 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vissel Kobe to win ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | 3.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe ✗ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.71 | – |
Form
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Gamba Osaka | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Sep | vs Imabari | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Machida Zelvia | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Jeonbuk Motors | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Kyoto Sanga | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Yokohama F. Marinos | 0–2 | L |
Vissel Kobe – last 6
| 23 Sep | vs Sagan Tosu | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Gamba Osaka | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Port FC | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Kashima | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs V-varen Nagasaki | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Tokyo Verdy | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe.
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 18 | +20 | 45 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 18 | +14 | 37 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 18 | +6 | 37 |
| 4 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Tokyo Verdy | 18 | -4 | 28 |
| 6 |  Urawa | 18 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Mito Hollyhock | 18 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 18 | -16 | 12 |
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Gamba Osaka0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vissel Kobe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.