V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: V-varen Nagasaki to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees V-varen Nagasaki take on Nagoya Grampus on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Peace Stadium. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Kochi United 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Machida Zelvia 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus. Across their last 2 meetings V-varen Nagasaki have won 1, Nagoya Grampus 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.7 for Nagoya Grampus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: V-varen Nagasaki 35%, draw 21%, Nagoya Grampus 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: V-varen Nagasaki to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
V-varen Nagasaki35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Nagoya Grampus44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
3.25Expected goals
1.53V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.72Nagoya Grampus xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.5 – 1.7 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nagoya Grampus 44%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Kawasaki Frontale1
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Machida Zelvia1
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