Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Shimizu S-pulse take on Avispa Fukuoka on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Mito Hollyhock 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Avispa Fukuoka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.3 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Avispa Fukuoka41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
2.42Expected goals
1.13Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.29Avispa Fukuoka xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 – 1.3 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avispa Fukuoka to win✗
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LDLDLL
6 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
DLLDLW
5 Sep
vs Mito Hollyhock
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Urawa
2–3
L
29 Aug
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Verspah Oita
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Kashima
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avispa Fukuoka 41%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock0
Kawasaki Frontale1
FC Tokyo2
Machida Zelvia1
Yokohama F. Marinos1