Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Sanfrecce Hiroshima take on Cerezo Osaka on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Tokyo Verdy 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka. Across their last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 2, Cerezo Osaka 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.6 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Cerezo Osaka15%fair 6.54 · @4.80
2.33Expected goals
1.69Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.64Cerezo Osaka xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7 – 0.6 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cerezo Osaka 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.