Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTochigi SC to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.93
Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC host Biwako Shiga in the J3 League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi. Tochigi SC are 12th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Biwako Shiga sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tochigi SC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to FC Ryukyu 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Biwako Shiga's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Sagamihara 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Biwako Shiga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Tochigi SC and 1.0 for Biwako Shiga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Tochigi SC to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tochigi SC or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1–0 Biwako Shiga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi SC56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.20
Biwako Shiga20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
2.77Expected goals
1.79Tochigi SC xG
0.98Biwako Shiga xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.8 – 1.0 Biwako Shiga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✓
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tochigi SC or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Tochigi SC ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.93
–
Form
Tochigi SC – last 6
LLDLLD
17 Oct
@ FC Ryukyu
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Biwako Shiga – last 6
LDDLWL
18 Oct
vs Sagamihara
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Fukushima United
2–2
D
2 Oct
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Nara Club
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs FC Ryukyu
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Kagoshima United
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Biwako Shiga.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?
Our pick is Tochigi SC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Biwako Shiga 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–0 Biwako Shiga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?
Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
