Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFukushima United to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.03
Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Fukushima United take on Kitakyushu on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at Toho. Fukushima United are 14th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kitakyushu sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fukushima United's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Kitakyushu's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Osaka 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kitakyushu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Fukushima United and 1.7 for Kitakyushu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fukushima United 43%, draw 21%, Kitakyushu 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Fukushima United 1–1 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fukushima United43%fair 2.31 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Kitakyushu35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
3.64Expected goals
1.92Fukushima United xG
1.72Kitakyushu xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Fukushima United 1.9 – 1.7 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fukushima United to win✓
43%
2.31
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fukushima United / FT Fukushima United✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.03
–
Form
Fukushima United – last 6
LDLLWL
17 Oct
@ FC Gifu
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Biwako Shiga
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Kagoshima United
2–3
L
29 Sep
vs Mito Hollyhock
0–7
L
26 Sep
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–3
W
18 Sep
@ Osaka
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kitakyushu – last 6
WLWLDW
17 Oct
vs Osaka
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Nara Club
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Kagoshima United
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sagamihara
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fukushima United and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Fukushima United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kitakyushu 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Fukushima United 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?
Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Toho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
