Kagoshima United vs Kochi United preview and prediction
The match
Kagoshima United host Kochi United in the J3 League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Shiranami Stadium. Kagoshima United are 4th with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Kochi United sit 20th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kagoshima United's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Ehime FC 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kochi United's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Renofa Yamaguchi 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Kagoshima United and 1.0 for Kochi United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kagoshima United 60%, draw 19%, Kochi United 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 1–1 Kochi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kagoshima United60%fair 1.66 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Kochi United20%fair 4.90 · @5.50
2.95Expected goals
1.94Kagoshima United xG
1.01Kochi United xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.9 – 1.0 Kochi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kagoshima United to win✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Kagoshima United ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.84
–
Form
Kagoshima United – last 6
WLLWDW
17 Oct
vs Ehime FC
4–2
W
11 Oct
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Fukushima United
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Tochigi SC
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kochi United – last 6
LLLLLD
18 Oct
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Parceiro Nagano
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Kitakyushu
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Osaka
0–4
L
19 Sep
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Kanazawa
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kagoshima United and Kochi United.
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?
On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kochi United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?
Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–1 Kochi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?
Kagoshima United vs Kochi United (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
