Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Tochigi SC take on Matsumoto Yamaga on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi. Tochigi SC are 12th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Matsumoto Yamaga sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tochigi SC's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Kagoshima United 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Roasso Kumamoto 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Tochigi SC and 1.1 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi SC46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Matsumoto Yamaga32%fair 3.17 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.42Tochigi SC xG
1.11Matsumoto Yamaga xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.4 – 1.1 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✗
46%
2.16
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Tochigi SC – last 6
LDLWLL
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ FC Gifu
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
DLDDDD
18 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Shonan Bellmare
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Osaka
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Matsumoto Yamaga 32%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
