Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Renofa Yamaguchi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara preview and prediction
The match
Renofa Yamaguchi host Sagamihara in the J3 League on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium. Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sagamihara sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Kanazawa 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sagamihara's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Kitakyushu 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Renofa Yamaguchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 0.9 for Sagamihara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Renofa Yamaguchi to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Sagamihara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renofa Yamaguchi58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.40
Sagamihara24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
2.58Expected goals
1.66Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.92Sagamihara xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.7 – 0.9 Sagamihara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
WWWLDL
20 Sep
@ Kanazawa
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Osaka
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Nara Club
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sagamihara – last 6
LWDLLW
20 Sep
vs Kitakyushu
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ FC Ryukyu
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Kanazawa
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Sagamihara.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sagamihara 24%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Sagamihara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
