Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Osaka to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsaka to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Osaka travel to Ishin Me-Life Stadium in the J3 League on Sunday 30 August (11:00 WAT) to face Renofa Yamaguchi. Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Osaka sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Nara Club 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Osaka's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.5 for Osaka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Osaka to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renofa Yamaguchi36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Osaka40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.46Renofa Yamaguchi xG
1.54Osaka xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.5 – 1.5 Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osaka to win✗
40%
2.52
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osaka / FT Osaka✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
LLWLLD
22 Aug
@ Nara Club
1–3
L
19 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Kochi United
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Osaka – last 6
DDWWDL
26 Aug
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Nara Club
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Gainare Tottori
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Osaka.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Osaka 40%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
