Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParceiro Nagano to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma preview and prediction
The match
Parceiro Nagano host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Nagano U Stadium. Parceiro Nagano are 10th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 19th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–6 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Tokyo Verdy 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Parceiro Nagano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Parceiro Nagano and 1.5 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parceiro Nagano40%fair 2.52 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Thespakusatsu Gunma36%fair 2.78 · @2.50
3.17Expected goals
1.63Parceiro Nagano xG
1.54Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.6 – 1.5 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parceiro Nagano to win✗
40%
2.52
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parceiro Nagano / FT Parceiro Nagano✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LWWLWL
26 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
0–6
L
22 Aug
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Fukui United
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Osaka
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
LLWLLL
26 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Tohoku Gakuin University
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Sagamihara
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Kanazawa
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parceiro Nagano and Thespakusatsu Gunma.
What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 36%.
How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
