Value bet: Maccabi Bnei Raina to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Bnei Raina to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula preview and prediction
The match
Maccabi Bnei Raina host Hapoel Afula in the Liga Leumit on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Green Stadium. Maccabi Bnei Raina are 8th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Hapoel Afula sit 5th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maccabi Bnei Raina's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Hapoel Afula's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Afula arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 0.9 for Hapoel Afula. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Maccabi Bnei Raina to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Maccabi Bnei Raina 1–1 Hapoel Afula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Bnei Raina57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.35
Hapoel Afula22%fair 4.48 · @3.75
2.58Expected goals
1.67Maccabi Bnei Raina xG
0.91Hapoel Afula xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Maccabi Bnei Raina 1.7 – 0.9 Hapoel Afula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Bnei Raina to win✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Bnei Raina / FT Maccabi Bnei Raina✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Maccabi Bnei Raina – last 6
WLWLLL
6 Sep
@ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Ashdod
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Kiryat Yam SC
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Bnei Yehuda
1–4
L
18 May
vs Maccabi Netanya
1–4
L
13 May
@ Ironi Tiberias
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Afula – last 6
LWWWWW
6 Sep
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
3–2
W
24 Aug
@ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Ashdod
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
3–2
W
25 May
vs Kafr Qasim
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Bnei Raina and Hapoel Afula.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
On our numbers Maccabi Bnei Raina have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Afula 22%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Bnei Raina 1–1 Hapoel Afula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
