Value bet: Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win @ 2.92 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Kiryat Gat to win ✗43% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Kfar Saba host Maccabi Kiryat Gat in the Liga Leumit on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Hapoel Kfar Saba are 9th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hapoel Kfar Saba's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Hapoel Ra'anana 1–6 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Maccabi Herzliya 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Hapoel Kfar Saba and 1.5 for Maccabi Kiryat Gat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hapoel Kfar Saba 35%, draw 22%, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 43%.
Value angle: Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win at 2.92 – 43% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Hapoel Kfar Saba 1–1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Kfar Saba35%fair 2.89 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Maccabi Kiryat Gat43%fair 2.31 · @2.92
2.88Expected goals
1.35Hapoel Kfar Saba xG
1.54Maccabi Kiryat Gat xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Kfar Saba 1.3 – 1.5 Maccabi Kiryat Gat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win✗
43%
2.31
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Kiryat Gat / FT Maccabi Kiryat Gat✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
Hapoel Kfar Saba – last 6
LWLLDD
6 Sep
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–6
L
30 Aug
@ Maccabi Herzliya
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Ironi Modi'in
1–4
L
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Rishon LeZion
0–2
L
25 May
vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
1–1
D
20 May
@ Maccabi Herzliya
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kiryat Gat – last 6
DDLWDW
7 Sep
vs Maccabi Herzliya
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Ironi Modi'in
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Kfar Saba 1928
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Kfar Saba and Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
On our numbers Hapoel Kfar Saba have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maccabi Kiryat Gat 43%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Kfar Saba 1–1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
