Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Kfar Shalem to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Kfar Shalem to win ✗66% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.77
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Kfar Shalem host Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Leumit on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Hapoel Kfar Shalem are 3rd with 29 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hapoel Kfar Shalem's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Ashdod 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Maccabi Bnei Raina 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Hapoel Kfar Shalem and 1.0 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hapoel Kfar Shalem to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Kfar Shalem66%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw13%fair 8.00 · @3.65
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth22%fair 4.56 · @3.60
2.98Expected goals
2.00Hapoel Kfar Shalem xG
0.97Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2.0 – 1.0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem to win✗
66%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Half-time result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Kfar Shalem / FT Hapoel Kfar Shalem✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.77
–
Form
Hapoel Kfar Shalem – last 6
LWLWWW
6 Sep
@ Ashdod
0–4
L
30 Aug
vs Kiryat Yam SC
3–2
W
23 Aug
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–3
L
18 Aug
vs Kafr Qasim
2–0
W
25 May
@ Hapoel Rishon LeZion
6–2
W
20 May
vs Kiryat Yam SC
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 6
LWLLWW
6 Sep
vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Hapoel Afula
0–1
L
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Kfar Shalem and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Hapoel Kfar Shalem have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
