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Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗45% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction

The match

Spartak Moscow travel to face Lokomotiv in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 11 July (18:00 WAT).

Form guide

Lokomotiv's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Spartak Kostroma 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Spartak Moscow's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Rubin 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Spartak Moscow 2–1 Lokomotiv.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Lokomotiv and 1.6 for Spartak Moscow. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lokomotiv34%fair 2.98 · @2.98
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.34
Spartak Moscow45%fair 2.24 · @2.29
2.94Expected goals
1.35Lokomotiv xG
1.60Spartak Moscow xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.3 – 1.6 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✗45%2.242.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.06–

Form

Lokomotiv – last 6

WDLDDW
3 Julvs Spartak Kostroma2–0W
27 Junvs Rodina Moskva0–0D
17 May@ CSKA Moscow1–3L
1 Mayvs Dynamo1–1D
22 Aprvs Zenit0–0D
18 Apr@ FC Orenburg1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Spartak Moscow – last 6

DWWDWW
8 Julvs Rubin0–0D
4 Julvs Krylia Sovetov3–2W
2 Julvs Spartak Kostroma1–0W
17 May@ Dinamo Makhachkala0–0D
11 Mayvs Rubin2–1W
6 Mayvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Spartak Moscow v Lokomotiv2–1
Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?

On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Moscow 45%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?

Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.