Oţelul vs FC Bacau Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 11 Jul 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultOţelul to win ✓68% · @1.17

Double chanceOţelul or draw ✓84% · @1.03

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.30

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05

Oţelul vs FC Bacau preview and prediction

The match

Oţelul host FC Bacau in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Oţelul's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Farul Constanta 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FC Bacau's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Metalul Buzău 7–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Oţelul and 0.9 for FC Bacau. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Win chances: Oţelul 68%, draw 16%, FC Bacau 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 55% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Oţelul 2–0 FC Bacau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Oţelul68%fair 1.47 · @1.17

Draw16%fair 6.16 · @5.50

FC Bacau16%fair 6.38 · @17.00

3.06Expected goals

2.17Oţelul xG

0.89FC Bacau xG

55%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%

1–010%

2–110%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Oţelul 2.2 – 0.9 FC Bacau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oţelul to win ✓	68%	1.47	1.17
Double chance	Oţelul or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.03
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.68	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.62	1.55
Half-time result	Oţelul ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.06	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oţelul / FT Oţelul ✗	43%	2.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	11%	9.05	–

Form

Oţelul – last 6

DWDWWL

3 Jul	@ Farul Constanta	0–0	D
18 May	@ Petrolul Ploiesti	5–1	W
2 May	vs Metaloglobus	2–2	D
17 Apr	vs Uta Arad	1–0	W
4 Apr	vs AFC Hermannstadt	2–0	W
23 Mar	@ Unirea Slobozia	1–2	L

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FC Bacau – last 6

WLWLWL

3 Jul	@ Metalul Buzău	7–2	W
9 May	@ Viitorul Şelimbăr	1–4	L
2 May	vs Dumbrăviţa	1–0	W
25 Apr	@ Concordia	0–2	L
18 Apr	vs CS Afumati	3–1	W
10 Apr	vs CSM Satu Mare	1–3	L

2.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oţelul vs FC Bacau?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Oţelul vs FC Bacau?

On our numbers Oţelul have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Bacau 16%.

How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs FC Bacau?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs FC Bacau?

Our predicted score is Oţelul 2–0 FC Bacau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Oţelul vs FC Bacau?

Oţelul vs FC Bacau (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Oţelul

FC Bacau

Oţelul vs FC Bacau prediction & analysis

Under 3.5 goals