Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Burnley to win @ 1.92 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurnley to win ✗58% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.24
FC Cincinnati vs Burnley preview and prediction
The match
Burnley travel to face FC Cincinnati in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 11 July (00:30 WAT).
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Orlando City SC 6–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Burnley's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Wolves 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Cincinnati arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for FC Cincinnati and 1.8 for Burnley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cincinnati 21%, draw 21%, Burnley 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Burnley to win at 1.92 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 0–1 Burnley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cincinnati21%fair 4.70 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.85
Burnley58%fair 1.73 · @1.92
2.83Expected goals
1.00FC Cincinnati xG
1.83Burnley xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 1.0 – 1.8 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
58%
1.73
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.55
Half-time result
Burnley ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
FC Cincinnati – last 6
WDLDWW
24 May
vs Orlando City SC
6–2
W
17 May
@ San Diego
3–3
D
14 May
vs Inter Miami
3–5
L
10 May
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
3 May
@ Chicago Fire
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs New York Red Bulls
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
DLDLLL
24 May
vs Wolves
1–1
D
18 May
@ Arsenal
0–1
L
10 May
vs Aston Villa
2–2
D
1 May
@ Leeds
1–3
L
22 Apr
vs Manchester City
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Nottingham Forest
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Burnley.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Burnley 58%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 0–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?
FC Cincinnati vs Burnley (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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