Fakel travel to face Akron in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 11 July (13:00 WAT).
Form guide
Akron's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Rodina Moskva 5–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fakel's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat FC Rostov 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fakel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Akron and 1.2 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akron 47%, draw 21%, Fakel 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.72.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Akron 1–1 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akron47%fair 2.13 · @2.21
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Fakel32%fair 3.13 · @3.08
2.76Expected goals
1.54Akron xG
1.21Fakel xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Akron 1.5 – 1.2 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akron to win✗
47%
2.13
2.21
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akron / FT Akron✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Akron – last 6
WLLWLL
2 Jul
@ Rodina Moskva
5–0
W
26 Jun
vs Baltika
0–1
L
23 May
vs Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
20 May
@ Rotor Volgograd
2–0
W
17 May
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–4
L
11 May
vs FC Rostov
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
WDDDLW
7 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
8 May
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akron and Fakel.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Akron vs Fakel?
On our numbers Akron have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fakel 32%.
How many goals will there be in Akron vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Akron 1–1 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Akron vs Fakel?
Akron vs Fakel (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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